Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany will support afternoon highs of 28–30°C in Munich on August 28, with trader-implied odds clustering around 28–29°C reflecting this consensus. Afternoon instability and scattered thunderstorms, driven by surface heating and a weak front, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak readings or allowing brief spikes before cooling outflows arrive. Historical August averages near 23°C and records above 32°C provide context, but current guidance shows no extreme setup. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine timing of convection and final maximum values ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 28 августа?
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
30°C 15%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
30°C 15%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany will support afternoon highs of 28–30°C in Munich on August 28, with trader-implied odds clustering around 28–29°C reflecting this consensus. Afternoon instability and scattered thunderstorms, driven by surface heating and a weak front, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak readings or allowing brief spikes before cooling outflows arrive. Historical August averages near 23°C and records above 32°C provide context, but current guidance shows no extreme setup. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine timing of convection and final maximum values ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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