Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a maximum of 25–26°C in Warsaw on August 28 under southeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light-to-moderate winds that limit daytime mixing. High pressure maintains stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing moderate solar heating consistent with late-August climatology, though the exact peak hinges on precise timing of any afternoon cloud increase or wind gusts. Traders favor 26°C over 25°C by a slim margin as recent model guidance edges slightly higher, while probabilities for 27°C or above remain low absent stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 28 августа?
26°C 45%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
36%
26°C
45%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 45%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
36%
26°C
45%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a maximum of 25–26°C in Warsaw on August 28 under southeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light-to-moderate winds that limit daytime mixing. High pressure maintains stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing moderate solar heating consistent with late-August climatology, though the exact peak hinges on precise timing of any afternoon cloud increase or wind gusts. Traders favor 26°C over 25°C by a slim margin as recent model guidance edges slightly higher, while probabilities for 27°C or above remain low absent stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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