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icon for Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?

авг. 25

авг. 26

авг. 27

авг. 25

авг. 26

авг. 27

7°C or below 50%

14°C 45%

9°C 43%

10°C 43%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

7°C or below 50%

14°C 45%

9°C 43%

10°C 43%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

7°C or below

$0 Объем

50%

8°C

$0 Объем

26%

9°C

$0 Объем

43%

10°C

$0 Объем

43%

11°C

$0 Объем

29%

12°C

$0 Объем

29%

13°C

$0 Объем

43%

14°C

$0 Объем

45%

15°C

$0 Объем

43%

16°C

$0 Объем

38%

17°C or higher

$0 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on August 25?

Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on August 25?

99%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?

42%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26?

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26?

51%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «11°C» с 29%, за ним следует «12°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 29¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 25, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?» — «11°C» с 29%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Следующий ближайший исход — «12°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 27 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.