Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 25 августа?
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
44%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$70 Объем
1%
25°C
$5 Объем
1%
26°C
$0 Объем
5%
27°C
$32 Объем
19%
28°C
$72 Объем
44%
29°C
$87 Объем
29%
30°C
$12 Объем
8%
31°C
$20 Объем
3%
32°C
$4 Объем
3%
33°C
$5 Объем
2%
34°C or higher
$30 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$336Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$336Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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