**Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains are driving forecast highs for Dallas on August 23 near 106–107°F, aligning with the market’s leading 46.5% probability on that bin.** Multiple official and private forecasts (National Weather Service, WeatherBug, local models) converge on sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs of 106–110°F, with heat indices reaching 114°F due to low humidity and ongoing extreme heat warnings. This stems from a subtropical ridge producing subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, a pattern that has sustained triple-digit readings across North Texas for weeks. Historical context reinforces the outlook: the date’s all-time record is 107°F (2010), and recent August 2026 observations show similar ridge-driven heat with little day-to-day variability. Model consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s observation window, limiting upside risk to the 108–109°F bin (22%) unless a last-minute warm bias emerges in guidance. Lower bins reflect the small but non-zero chance of modest cooling from minor moisture or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 23 августа?
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 24%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
24%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 24%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
101°F or below
$10 Объем
2%
102-103°F
$332 Объем
4%
104-105°F
$193 Объем
21%
106-107°F
$122 Объем
47%
108-109°F
$41 Объем
24%
110-111°F
$5 Объем
5%
112-113°F
$48 Объем
2%
114-115°F
$42 Объем
1%
116-117°F
$50 Объем
1%
118-119°F
$180 Объем
<1%
120°F or higher
$222 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains are driving forecast highs for Dallas on August 23 near 106–107°F, aligning with the market’s leading 46.5% probability on that bin.**
Multiple official and private forecasts (National Weather Service, WeatherBug, local models) converge on sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs of 106–110°F, with heat indices reaching 114°F due to low humidity and ongoing extreme heat warnings. This stems from a subtropical ridge producing subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, a pattern that has sustained triple-digit readings across North Texas for weeks.
Historical context reinforces the outlook: the date’s all-time record is 107°F (2010), and recent August 2026 observations show similar ridge-driven heat with little day-to-day variability. Model consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s observation window, limiting upside risk to the 108–109°F bin (22%) unless a last-minute warm bias emerges in guidance. Lower bins reflect the small but non-zero chance of modest cooling from minor moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,246Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains are driving forecast highs for Dallas on August 23 near 106–107°F, aligning with the market’s leading 46.5% probability on that bin.**
Multiple official and private forecasts (National Weather Service, WeatherBug, local models) converge on sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs of 106–110°F, with heat indices reaching 114°F due to low humidity and ongoing extreme heat warnings. This stems from a subtropical ridge producing subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, a pattern that has sustained triple-digit readings across North Texas for weeks.
Historical context reinforces the outlook: the date’s all-time record is 107°F (2010), and recent August 2026 observations show similar ridge-driven heat with little day-to-day variability. Model consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s observation window, limiting upside risk to the 108–109°F bin (22%) unless a last-minute warm bias emerges in guidance. Lower bins reflect the small but non-zero chance of modest cooling from minor moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,246Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains are driving forecast highs for Dallas on August 23 near 106–107°F, aligning with the market’s leading 46.5% probability on that bin.** Multiple official and private forecasts (National Weather Service, WeatherBug, local models) converge on sunny skies, light southerly winds, and highs of 106–110°F, with heat indices reaching 114°F due to low humidity and ongoing extreme heat warnings. This stems from a subtropical ridge producing subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, a pattern that has sustained triple-digit readings across North Texas for weeks. Historical context reinforces the outlook: the date’s all-time record is 107°F (2010), and recent August 2026 observations show similar ridge-driven heat with little day-to-day variability. Model consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s observation window, limiting upside risk to the 108–109°F bin (22%) unless a last-minute warm bias emerges in guidance. Lower bins reflect the small but non-zero chance of modest cooling from minor moisture or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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