Latest forecast guidance from regional models and the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory points to a daytime maximum of 30–32°C on August 27 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are the main factors keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values, as greater afternoon convection or thicker cloud decks would cap heating near 30°C while clearer intervals could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Climatological August averages near 32°C provide context, though recent station data show moderation from overcast skies and sea-breeze effects in the Pearl River Delta. Fresh ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs plus local updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact outcome within this narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 27 августа?
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 20%
29°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 20%
29°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from regional models and the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory points to a daytime maximum of 30–32°C on August 27 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are the main factors keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values, as greater afternoon convection or thicker cloud decks would cap heating near 30°C while clearer intervals could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Climatological August averages near 32°C provide context, though recent station data show moderation from overcast skies and sea-breeze effects in the Pearl River Delta. Fresh ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs plus local updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact outcome within this narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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