**Current forecast guidance from regional models positions 32–34°C as the most probable range for Kuala Lumpur’s maximum temperature on August 27, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading at 33°C (49.5%) and 34°C (25.5%).** Late-August conditions feature persistent high humidity and weak steering winds typical of the southwest monsoon transition, supporting daytime highs near the long-term climatological average of 32–33°C while isolated convection and afternoon thunderstorms—common in the region—can cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 31–35°C amid variable moisture, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or suppression. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus from agencies such as the Malaysian Meteorological Department against the narrow window for rapid model shifts before resolution, keeping lower (≤31°C) and higher (≥35°C) outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Куала-Лумпуре 27 августа?
33°C 50%
34°C 26%
32°C 16%
30°C 9%
28°C или ниже
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
50%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
33°C 50%
34°C 26%
32°C 16%
30°C 9%
28°C или ниже
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
50%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast guidance from regional models positions 32–34°C as the most probable range for Kuala Lumpur’s maximum temperature on August 27, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading at 33°C (49.5%) and 34°C (25.5%).** Late-August conditions feature persistent high humidity and weak steering winds typical of the southwest monsoon transition, supporting daytime highs near the long-term climatological average of 32–33°C while isolated convection and afternoon thunderstorms—common in the region—can cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 31–35°C amid variable moisture, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or suppression. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus from agencies such as the Malaysian Meteorological Department against the narrow window for rapid model shifts before resolution, keeping lower (≤31°C) and higher (≥35°C) outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы