Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
26%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
6%
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$12 Объем
<1%
14°C
$11 Объем
<1%
15°C
$30 Объем
<1%
16°C
$5 Объем
1%
17°C
$62 Объем
2%
18°C
$52 Объем
7%
19°C
$125 Объем
19%
20°C
$233 Объем
32%
21°C
$98 Объем
26%
22°C
$439 Объем
10%
23°C or higher
$316 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,384Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,384Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы