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icon for Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?

8°C or below 59%

18°C or higher 59%

13°C 28%

12°C 28%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

8°C or below 59%

18°C or higher 59%

13°C 28%

12°C 28%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

8°C or below

$5 Объем

59%

9°C

$0 Объем

8%

10°C

$0 Объем

11%

11°C

$0 Объем

19%

12°C

$0 Объем

28%

13°C

$0 Объем

28%

14°C

$0 Объем

27%

15°C

$0 Объем

22%

16°C

$5 Объем

1%

17°C

$5 Объем

13%

18°C or higher

$5 Объем

59%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «8°C or below» с 30%, за ним следует «18°C or higher» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 23, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?» — «8°C or below» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «18°C or higher» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.