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icon for Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

24°C 37%

23°C 25%

25°C 20%

22°C 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

24°C 37%

23°C 25%

25°C 20%

22°C 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

18°C or below

$5 Объем

1%

19°C

$5 Объем

1%

20°C

$5 Объем

1%

21°C

$0 Объем

2%

22°C

$186 Объем

11%

23°C

$434 Объем

25%

24°C

$104 Объем

37%

25°C

$38 Объем

20%

26°C

$0 Объем

2%

27°C

$20 Объем

2%

28°C or higher

$5 Объем

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance and local DWD outlooks, indicate a mostly sunny pattern over southern Germany with daytime maxima near 23–25°C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and light easterly flow. This aligns closely with Munich’s late-August climatology, where average highs range 23–25°C and extremes above 28°C are uncommon without strong advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 23°C (26%) contracts, captures this model agreement and minimal day-to-day variability expected before resolution, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ outcomes account for slight ensemble spread and typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification. No major synoptic shifts are projected in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$802
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance and local DWD outlooks, indicate a mostly sunny pattern over southern Germany with daytime maxima near 23–25°C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and light easterly flow. This aligns closely with Munich’s late-August climatology, where average highs range 23–25°C and extremes above 28°C are uncommon without strong advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 23°C (26%) contracts, captures this model agreement and minimal day-to-day variability expected before resolution, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ outcomes account for slight ensemble spread and typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification. No major synoptic shifts are projected in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$802
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «24°C» с 37%, за ним следует «23°C» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 37¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» — «24°C» с 37%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Следующий ближайший исход — «23°C» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.