Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 25 августа?
23°C 32%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 32%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$135 Объем
<1%
18°C
$208 Объем
1%
19°C
$478 Объем
2%
20°C
$597 Объем
4%
21°C
$667 Объем
10%
22°C
$656 Объем
27%
23°C
$2,736 Объем
32%
24°C
$3,701 Объем
20%
25°C
$485 Объем
6%
26°C
$185 Объем
2%
27°C or higher
$145 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$9,993Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,993Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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