Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a high of 15°C for Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterlies, aligning with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region amid emerging El Niño influences. Numerical weather models show modest variability around this range, with some runs supporting a peak near 16°C due to temporary ridging and downslope warming effects, while cooler advection keeps lower outcomes plausible. This drives the market's strong consensus on 15–16°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance and historical August maxima typically near 12–13°C against the current setup. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 августа?
16°C 56%
15°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
56%
17°C
16%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
15°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$239 Объем
<1%
11°C
$239 Объем
<1%
12°C
$239 Объем
<1%
13°C
$252 Объем
<1%
14°C
$725 Объем
4%
15°C
$1,938 Объем
18%
16°C
$1,277 Объем
56%
17°C
$1,020 Объем
16%
18°C
$634 Объем
4%
19°C
$183 Объем
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,126 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a high of 15°C for Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterlies, aligning with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region amid emerging El Niño influences. Numerical weather models show modest variability around this range, with some runs supporting a peak near 16°C due to temporary ridging and downslope warming effects, while cooler advection keeps lower outcomes plausible. This drives the market's strong consensus on 15–16°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance and historical August maxima typically near 12–13°C against the current setup. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain key variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$7,872Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a high of 15°C for Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterlies, aligning with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region amid emerging El Niño influences. Numerical weather models show modest variability around this range, with some runs supporting a peak near 16°C due to temporary ridging and downslope warming effects, while cooler advection keeps lower outcomes plausible. This drives the market's strong consensus on 15–16°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance and historical August maxima typically near 12–13°C against the current setup. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain key variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,872Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a high of 15°C for Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterlies, aligning with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region amid emerging El Niño influences. Numerical weather models show modest variability around this range, with some runs supporting a peak near 16°C due to temporary ridging and downslope warming effects, while cooler advection keeps lower outcomes plausible. This drives the market's strong consensus on 15–16°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble guidance and historical August maxima typically near 12–13°C against the current setup. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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