Northwest airflow over Wellington is sustaining mild overnight conditions ahead of August 25, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 12°C according to MetService and international model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and sustained 20–25 knot winds inhibit surface temperature drops, while the absence of southerly advection keeps air masses warmer than the seasonal 9–11°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited variability in dew points and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in overnight wind speed or cloud thickness could tip the reading to 11°C or 13°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 25 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 25 августа?
18°C or higher 46%
12°C 33%
11°C 29%
8°C or below 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
25%
9°C
15%
10°C
21%
11°C
29%
12°C
33%
13°C
25%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
46%
18°C or higher 46%
12°C 33%
11°C 29%
8°C or below 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$37 Объем
25%
9°C
$15 Объем
15%
10°C
$0 Объем
21%
11°C
$0 Объем
29%
12°C
$0 Объем
33%
13°C
$0 Объем
25%
14°C
$21 Объем
8%
15°C
$5 Объем
1%
16°C
$5 Объем
3%
17°C
$493 Объем
1%
18°C or higher
$130 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest airflow over Wellington is sustaining mild overnight conditions ahead of August 25, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 12°C according to MetService and international model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and sustained 20–25 knot winds inhibit surface temperature drops, while the absence of southerly advection keeps air masses warmer than the seasonal 9–11°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited variability in dew points and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in overnight wind speed or cloud thickness could tip the reading to 11°C or 13°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$706Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest airflow over Wellington is sustaining mild overnight conditions ahead of August 25, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 12°C according to MetService and international model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and sustained 20–25 knot winds inhibit surface temperature drops, while the absence of southerly advection keeps air masses warmer than the seasonal 9–11°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited variability in dew points and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in overnight wind speed or cloud thickness could tip the reading to 11°C or 13°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$706Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwest airflow over Wellington is sustaining mild overnight conditions ahead of August 25, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 12°C according to MetService and international model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and sustained 20–25 knot winds inhibit surface temperature drops, while the absence of southerly advection keeps air masses warmer than the seasonal 9–11°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited variability in dew points and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in overnight wind speed or cloud thickness could tip the reading to 11°C or 13°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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