Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 23 августа?
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F или выше
1%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$132 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$90 Объем
1%
68-69°F
$140 Объем
1%
70-71°F
$83 Объем
3%
72-73°F
$71 Объем
12%
74-75°F
$354 Объем
40%
76-77°F
$277 Объем
40%
78-79°F
$119 Объем
10%
80-81°F
$142 Объем
3%
82-83°F
$35 Объем
1%
84°F или выше
$10 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,453Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,453Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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