Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs position Chicago for a high near 78–81°F on August 22, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or lake-breeze suppression. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of the forecast distribution, aligning with its 64.5% market-implied probability, while cooler 78–79°F outcomes retain 26.5% support from any stronger onshore flow. The August 22 climatological normal of 82°F provides context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly below that baseline amid a stable post-frontal air mass. Traders are watching the next NWS forecast update and afternoon sounding data for confirmation of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends that could shift probabilities within the narrow resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 22 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 22 августа?
80-81°F 65%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 7%
76-77°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
65%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
2%
30-30,5°C
2%
88°F или выше
<1%
80-81°F 65%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 7%
76-77°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$352 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$219 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$205 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$215 Объем
1%
76-77°F
$367 Объем
4%
78-79°F
$375 Объем
27%
80-81°F
$1,428 Объем
65%
82-83°F
$368 Объем
7%
84-85°F
$356 Объем
2%
30-30,5°C
$377 Объем
2%
88°F или выше
$377 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs position Chicago for a high near 78–81°F on August 22, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or lake-breeze suppression. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of the forecast distribution, aligning with its 64.5% market-implied probability, while cooler 78–79°F outcomes retain 26.5% support from any stronger onshore flow. The August 22 climatological normal of 82°F provides context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly below that baseline amid a stable post-frontal air mass. Traders are watching the next NWS forecast update and afternoon sounding data for confirmation of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends that could shift probabilities within the narrow resolution windows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$4,638Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs position Chicago for a high near 78–81°F on August 22, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or lake-breeze suppression. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of the forecast distribution, aligning with its 64.5% market-implied probability, while cooler 78–79°F outcomes retain 26.5% support from any stronger onshore flow. The August 22 climatological normal of 82°F provides context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly below that baseline amid a stable post-frontal air mass. Traders are watching the next NWS forecast update and afternoon sounding data for confirmation of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends that could shift probabilities within the narrow resolution windows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,638Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs position Chicago for a high near 78–81°F on August 22, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or lake-breeze suppression. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of the forecast distribution, aligning with its 64.5% market-implied probability, while cooler 78–79°F outcomes retain 26.5% support from any stronger onshore flow. The August 22 climatological normal of 82°F provides context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly below that baseline amid a stable post-frontal air mass. Traders are watching the next NWS forecast update and afternoon sounding data for confirmation of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends that could shift probabilities within the narrow resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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