Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 21 августа?
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
38%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
38%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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