Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 26 августа?
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
30%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C
14%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$0 Объем
2%
26°C
$0 Объем
4%
27°C
$164 Объем
6%
28°C
$0 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
11%
30°C
$24 Объем
30%
31°C
$0 Объем
28%
32°C
$15 Объем
19%
33°C
$30 Объем
14%
34°C
$5 Объем
14%
35°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$243Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$243Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration and global model runs indicate a cooling trend into late August, with increased cloud cover, showers, and reduced insolation likely capping Shenzhen's August 26 maximum near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 29.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for those outcomes captures this uncertainty, as subtropical monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clearer conditions. Historical Pearl River Delta August averages hover around 32 °C, yet current steering patterns favor more frequent convective activity that limits extreme heating. Updated CMA short-range guidance and ensemble spreads expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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