Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 26, driven by typical late-summer monsoon moisture and southeasterly flow, which caps peak temperatures near 30–32°C rather than allowing clearer-sky heating toward 34°C or above. High humidity and precipitation probability above 80% in many runs reduce insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while minor variations in storm timing or wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at representative stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 26 августа?
32°C 25%
31°C 22%
30°C 20%
33°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
25%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C или выше
1%
32°C 25%
31°C 22%
30°C 20%
33°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$88 Объем
<1%
26°C
$188 Объем
<1%
27°C
$80 Объем
1%
28°C
$49 Объем
3%
29°C
$0 Объем
10%
30°C
$21 Объем
20%
31°C
$54 Объем
22%
32°C
$5 Объем
25%
33°C
$19 Объем
16%
34°C
$260 Объем
5%
35°C или выше
$85 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 26, driven by typical late-summer monsoon moisture and southeasterly flow, which caps peak temperatures near 30–32°C rather than allowing clearer-sky heating toward 34°C or above. High humidity and precipitation probability above 80% in many runs reduce insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while minor variations in storm timing or wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$734Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 26, driven by typical late-summer monsoon moisture and southeasterly flow, which caps peak temperatures near 30–32°C rather than allowing clearer-sky heating toward 34°C or above. High humidity and precipitation probability above 80% in many runs reduce insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while minor variations in storm timing or wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$734Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 26, driven by typical late-summer monsoon moisture and southeasterly flow, which caps peak temperatures near 30–32°C rather than allowing clearer-sky heating toward 34°C or above. High humidity and precipitation probability above 80% in many runs reduce insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while minor variations in storm timing or wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at representative stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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