**Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a high near 29–30 °C for Istanbul on 26 August under predominantly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow.** These moderate temperatures reflect the typical late-summer influence of Etesian winds, which advect cooler maritime air from the Black Sea and limit daytime heating despite clear conditions and low precipitation probability. Observed highs have already declined from the low-to-mid 30s earlier in the month to around 31 °C on 25 August, supporting trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes as the most probable range given model spread and urban measurement variability at official stations. With resolution imminent, any last updates to boundary-layer winds or cloud cover will be the key variables traders are monitoring.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 26 августа?
27°C 48%
28°C 32%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
48%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 32%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
48%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a high near 29–30 °C for Istanbul on 26 August under predominantly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow.** These moderate temperatures reflect the typical late-summer influence of Etesian winds, which advect cooler maritime air from the Black Sea and limit daytime heating despite clear conditions and low precipitation probability. Observed highs have already declined from the low-to-mid 30s earlier in the month to around 31 °C on 25 August, supporting trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes as the most probable range given model spread and urban measurement variability at official stations. With resolution imminent, any last updates to boundary-layer winds or cloud cover will be the key variables traders are monitoring.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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