Persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across North Texas have sustained a dangerous heat wave, with official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus projecting a daily maximum of 106–107°F in Dallas on August 24. Recent observations of 106°F readings and extreme heat warnings reinforce trader confidence in this narrow range as the most likely outcome, while slight model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins at 104–105°F and 108–109°F viable. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 24 августа?
106-107°F 48%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 21%
102-103°F 4%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
48%
108-109°F
21%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 48%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 21%
102-103°F 4%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
48%
108-109°F
21%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across North Texas have sustained a dangerous heat wave, with official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus projecting a daily maximum of 106–107°F in Dallas on August 24. Recent observations of 106°F readings and extreme heat warnings reinforce trader confidence in this narrow range as the most likely outcome, while slight model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins at 104–105°F and 108–109°F viable. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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