National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles stations point to a daytime high in the mid-80s on August 26, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and near-shore sea-surface temperatures that limit inland heat advection despite a strong upper-level ridge. This coastal moderation amid an ongoing regional heat wave—fueled by a strengthening El Niño with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2 °C—explains trader emphasis on the 84–87 °F bins. Historical late-August climatology at Los Angeles International Airport centers near 84 °F, providing a baseline against which current model runs show only modest positive departures. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on August 26 will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 26 августа?
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 25%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 13%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98°F или выше
<1%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 25%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 13%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles stations point to a daytime high in the mid-80s on August 26, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and near-shore sea-surface temperatures that limit inland heat advection despite a strong upper-level ridge. This coastal moderation amid an ongoing regional heat wave—fueled by a strengthening El Niño with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2 °C—explains trader emphasis on the 84–87 °F bins. Historical late-August climatology at Los Angeles International Airport centers near 84 °F, providing a baseline against which current model runs show only modest positive departures. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on August 26 will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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