Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to overnight lows of 78–82 °F through late August, driven by typical subtropical maritime air masses, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions with scattered thunderstorms. These official model runs place the most probable minimum for August 26 squarely in the 78–81 °F band, matching the market’s leading 38 % and 30 % implied probabilities. Differentiation among adjacent bins hinges on small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression, wind speed, and convective timing, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °F; traders weigh the latest NWS runs and ensemble spread against Miami’s August climatological minimum near 80 °F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Майами 26 августа?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 31%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
4%
86°F или выше
<1%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 31%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$100 Объем
1%
68-69°F
$5 Объем
1%
70-71°F
$10 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$10 Объем
4%
74-75°F
$809 Объем
4%
76-77°F
$144 Объем
19%
78-79°F
$14 Объем
35%
80-81°F
$434 Объем
31%
82-83°F
$126 Объем
7%
84-85°F
$10 Объем
4%
86°F или выше
$280 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to overnight lows of 78–82 °F through late August, driven by typical subtropical maritime air masses, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions with scattered thunderstorms. These official model runs place the most probable minimum for August 26 squarely in the 78–81 °F band, matching the market’s leading 38 % and 30 % implied probabilities. Differentiation among adjacent bins hinges on small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression, wind speed, and convective timing, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °F; traders weigh the latest NWS runs and ensemble spread against Miami’s August climatological minimum near 80 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,941Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to overnight lows of 78–82 °F through late August, driven by typical subtropical maritime air masses, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions with scattered thunderstorms. These official model runs place the most probable minimum for August 26 squarely in the 78–81 °F band, matching the market’s leading 38 % and 30 % implied probabilities. Differentiation among adjacent bins hinges on small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression, wind speed, and convective timing, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °F; traders weigh the latest NWS runs and ensemble spread against Miami’s August climatological minimum near 80 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,941Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to overnight lows of 78–82 °F through late August, driven by typical subtropical maritime air masses, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions with scattered thunderstorms. These official model runs place the most probable minimum for August 26 squarely in the 78–81 °F band, matching the market’s leading 38 % and 30 % implied probabilities. Differentiation among adjacent bins hinges on small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression, wind speed, and convective timing, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °F; traders weigh the latest NWS runs and ensemble spread against Miami’s August climatological minimum near 80 °F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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