Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by southerly flow, high humidity above 80%, and widespread cloud cover with 60-80% chances of thunderstorms and light to moderate rain. Numerical weather models converge on this range as daytime heating is limited by convective activity and reduced solar insolation, consistent with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where August averages hover around 32°C but often fall short under similar conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in peak timing and localized intensity, with official station measurements at Shenzhen Bao'an likely resolving the exact threshold. Updated model runs and regional radar trends through August 23 will clarify any shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 августа?
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
18%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C или выше
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$376 Объем
<1%
26°C
$376 Объем
<1%
27°C
$598 Объем
1%
28°C
$615 Объем
6%
29°C
$703 Объем
14%
30°C
$1,412 Объем
26%
31°C
$2,654 Объем
29%
32°C
$768 Объем
18%
33°C
$703 Объем
9%
34°C
$495 Объем
3%
35°C или выше
$351 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by southerly flow, high humidity above 80%, and widespread cloud cover with 60-80% chances of thunderstorms and light to moderate rain. Numerical weather models converge on this range as daytime heating is limited by convective activity and reduced solar insolation, consistent with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where August averages hover around 32°C but often fall short under similar conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in peak timing and localized intensity, with official station measurements at Shenzhen Bao'an likely resolving the exact threshold. Updated model runs and regional radar trends through August 23 will clarify any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$9,051Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by southerly flow, high humidity above 80%, and widespread cloud cover with 60-80% chances of thunderstorms and light to moderate rain. Numerical weather models converge on this range as daytime heating is limited by convective activity and reduced solar insolation, consistent with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where August averages hover around 32°C but often fall short under similar conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in peak timing and localized intensity, with official station measurements at Shenzhen Bao'an likely resolving the exact threshold. Updated model runs and regional radar trends through August 23 will clarify any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,051Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by southerly flow, high humidity above 80%, and widespread cloud cover with 60-80% chances of thunderstorms and light to moderate rain. Numerical weather models converge on this range as daytime heating is limited by convective activity and reduced solar insolation, consistent with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where August averages hover around 32°C but often fall short under similar conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in peak timing and localized intensity, with official station measurements at Shenzhen Bao'an likely resolving the exact threshold. Updated model runs and regional radar trends through August 23 will clarify any shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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