Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy conditions with southerly flow on August 26, supporting daytime highs near 28–30°C. This consensus underpins trader positioning around 32–33°C outcomes, as model spread and potential for stronger subtropical ridge influence could push peaks 1–3°C higher than the mean solution. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, diurnal heating rates under variable cloud cover, and minor steering shifts that affect coastal advection—elements that keep 34°C plausible but lower-probability while capping upside beyond that threshold given current sea-surface temperatures and climatological norms for late-August coastal Shandong. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 26 августа?
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C или выше
5%
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$64 Объем
<1%
26°C
$64 Объем
<1%
27°C
$405 Объем
1%
28°C
$5 Объем
1%
29°C
$5 Объем
1%
30°C
$75 Объем
4%
31°C
$15 Объем
8%
32°C
$0 Объем
27%
33°C
$7 Объем
36%
34°C
$87 Объем
21%
35°C или выше
$306 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy conditions with southerly flow on August 26, supporting daytime highs near 28–30°C. This consensus underpins trader positioning around 32–33°C outcomes, as model spread and potential for stronger subtropical ridge influence could push peaks 1–3°C higher than the mean solution. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, diurnal heating rates under variable cloud cover, and minor steering shifts that affect coastal advection—elements that keep 34°C plausible but lower-probability while capping upside beyond that threshold given current sea-surface temperatures and climatological norms for late-August coastal Shandong. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,033Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy conditions with southerly flow on August 26, supporting daytime highs near 28–30°C. This consensus underpins trader positioning around 32–33°C outcomes, as model spread and potential for stronger subtropical ridge influence could push peaks 1–3°C higher than the mean solution. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, diurnal heating rates under variable cloud cover, and minor steering shifts that affect coastal advection—elements that keep 34°C plausible but lower-probability while capping upside beyond that threshold given current sea-surface temperatures and climatological norms for late-August coastal Shandong. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,033Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy conditions with southerly flow on August 26, supporting daytime highs near 28–30°C. This consensus underpins trader positioning around 32–33°C outcomes, as model spread and potential for stronger subtropical ridge influence could push peaks 1–3°C higher than the mean solution. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, diurnal heating rates under variable cloud cover, and minor steering shifts that affect coastal advection—elements that keep 34°C plausible but lower-probability while capping upside beyond that threshold given current sea-surface temperatures and climatological norms for late-August coastal Shandong. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы