Recent forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 24 amid lingering moisture from prior thunderstorms, partial cloud cover, and southwesterly winds that enhance marine moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C reflect uncertainty in how quickly skies clear after August 22–23 precipitation and the precise strength of any sea breeze or subsidence that could boost insolation and surface heating. Differentiating 31°C versus 32–33°C hinges on variables such as cloud optical depth, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind vectors, which ensemble runs show diverging by 1–2°C due to sensitivity in regional model physics. Newer observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 24 августа?
32°C 37%
33°C 31%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
37%
33°C
31%
34°C или выше
7%
32°C 37%
33°C 31%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$7 Объем
<1%
25°C
$7 Объем
<1%
26°C
$5 Объем
<1%
27°C
$51 Объем
1%
28°C
$139 Объем
1%
29°C
$26 Объем
3%
30°C
$52 Объем
7%
31°C
$60 Объем
23%
32°C
$136 Объем
37%
33°C
$757 Объем
31%
34°C или выше
$61 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 24 amid lingering moisture from prior thunderstorms, partial cloud cover, and southwesterly winds that enhance marine moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C reflect uncertainty in how quickly skies clear after August 22–23 precipitation and the precise strength of any sea breeze or subsidence that could boost insolation and surface heating. Differentiating 31°C versus 32–33°C hinges on variables such as cloud optical depth, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind vectors, which ensemble runs show diverging by 1–2°C due to sensitivity in regional model physics. Newer observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,282Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 24 amid lingering moisture from prior thunderstorms, partial cloud cover, and southwesterly winds that enhance marine moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C reflect uncertainty in how quickly skies clear after August 22–23 precipitation and the precise strength of any sea breeze or subsidence that could boost insolation and surface heating. Differentiating 31°C versus 32–33°C hinges on variables such as cloud optical depth, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind vectors, which ensemble runs show diverging by 1–2°C due to sensitivity in regional model physics. Newer observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,282Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 24 amid lingering moisture from prior thunderstorms, partial cloud cover, and southwesterly winds that enhance marine moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C reflect uncertainty in how quickly skies clear after August 22–23 precipitation and the precise strength of any sea breeze or subsidence that could boost insolation and surface heating. Differentiating 31°C versus 32–33°C hinges on variables such as cloud optical depth, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind vectors, which ensemble runs show diverging by 1–2°C due to sensitivity in regional model physics. Newer observational data and updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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