Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates a high-pressure ridge over northern Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 5–12 mph, and negligible precipitation risk to Amsterdam on August 24, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 21.6°C. Ensemble spreads center on 20–22°C maxima, with minor variations driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud fraction, and advection of slightly cooler maritime air versus warmer continental flow. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains the tight market clustering around 21°C (34%) and 22°C (38%), as traders weigh the latest deterministic and probabilistic runs against historical analogs showing frequent 20–23°C outcomes under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine the exact peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 24 августа?
22°C 38%
21°C 35%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
35%
22°C
38%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C или выше
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 35%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$164 Объем
<1%
18°C
$21 Объем
1%
19°C
$35 Объем
3%
20°C
$370 Объем
12%
21°C
$140 Объем
35%
22°C
$812 Объем
38%
23°C
$161 Объем
11%
24°C
$39 Объем
4%
25°C
$20 Объем
2%
26°C
$5 Объем
1%
27°C или выше
$85 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates a high-pressure ridge over northern Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 5–12 mph, and negligible precipitation risk to Amsterdam on August 24, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 21.6°C. Ensemble spreads center on 20–22°C maxima, with minor variations driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud fraction, and advection of slightly cooler maritime air versus warmer continental flow. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains the tight market clustering around 21°C (34%) and 22°C (38%), as traders weigh the latest deterministic and probabilistic runs against historical analogs showing frequent 20–23°C outcomes under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,853Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates a high-pressure ridge over northern Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 5–12 mph, and negligible precipitation risk to Amsterdam on August 24, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 21.6°C. Ensemble spreads center on 20–22°C maxima, with minor variations driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud fraction, and advection of slightly cooler maritime air versus warmer continental flow. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains the tight market clustering around 21°C (34%) and 22°C (38%), as traders weigh the latest deterministic and probabilistic runs against historical analogs showing frequent 20–23°C outcomes under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,853Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates a high-pressure ridge over northern Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 5–12 mph, and negligible precipitation risk to Amsterdam on August 24, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 21.6°C. Ensemble spreads center on 20–22°C maxima, with minor variations driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud fraction, and advection of slightly cooler maritime air versus warmer continental flow. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains the tight market clustering around 21°C (34%) and 22°C (38%), as traders weigh the latest deterministic and probabilistic runs against historical analogs showing frequent 20–23°C outcomes under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance closer to the date will likely refine the exact peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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