Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC forecasts, indicate a daily maximum near 37–38°C for Chongqing on August 26 under sunny skies and light southerly winds, driving the 38°C outcome to a 42% market-implied probability. This aligns with August climatology in the subtropical Yangtze region, where highs typically range 34–40°C amid high humidity and minimal cloud cover, following the official 37°C reading on August 23. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential due to stable steering patterns, though slight upward revisions could favor 39°C (26.5% odds) if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Traders weigh these short-term guidance updates against historical variability in peak temperatures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 26 августа?
38°C 39%
39°C 27%
37°C 21%
36°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
21%
38°C
39%
39°C
27%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 39%
39°C 27%
37°C 21%
36°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
32°C or below
$640 Объем
<1%
33°C
$511 Объем
<1%
34°C
$738 Объем
2%
35°C
$713 Объем
2%
36°C
$297 Объем
7%
37°C
$399 Объем
21%
38°C
$295 Объем
39%
39°C
$415 Объем
27%
40°C
$434 Объем
5%
41°C
$3 Объем
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC forecasts, indicate a daily maximum near 37–38°C for Chongqing on August 26 under sunny skies and light southerly winds, driving the 38°C outcome to a 42% market-implied probability. This aligns with August climatology in the subtropical Yangtze region, where highs typically range 34–40°C amid high humidity and minimal cloud cover, following the official 37°C reading on August 23. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential due to stable steering patterns, though slight upward revisions could favor 39°C (26.5% odds) if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Traders weigh these short-term guidance updates against historical variability in peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$4,451Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC forecasts, indicate a daily maximum near 37–38°C for Chongqing on August 26 under sunny skies and light southerly winds, driving the 38°C outcome to a 42% market-implied probability. This aligns with August climatology in the subtropical Yangtze region, where highs typically range 34–40°C amid high humidity and minimal cloud cover, following the official 37°C reading on August 23. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential due to stable steering patterns, though slight upward revisions could favor 39°C (26.5% odds) if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Traders weigh these short-term guidance updates against historical variability in peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,451Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC forecasts, indicate a daily maximum near 37–38°C for Chongqing on August 26 under sunny skies and light southerly winds, driving the 38°C outcome to a 42% market-implied probability. This aligns with August climatology in the subtropical Yangtze region, where highs typically range 34–40°C amid high humidity and minimal cloud cover, following the official 37°C reading on August 23. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential due to stable steering patterns, though slight upward revisions could favor 39°C (26.5% odds) if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Traders weigh these short-term guidance updates against historical variability in peak temperatures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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