Current model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Milan’s August 26 maximum likely reaching 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, explaining the near-even market split (37.5 % at 29 °C, 35.5 % at 30 °C). Weak pressure gradients limit vertical mixing while high solar insolation supports peak afternoon heating in the Po Valley; modest humidity and dew points near 19–20 °C moderate extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 28 °C and 31 °C priced lower due to lower probability tails. Updated 12z–00z runs and observational verification on the 25th–26th will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 26 августа?
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$0 Объем
<1%
23°C
$0 Объем
<1%
24°C
$5 Объем
<1%
25°C
$5 Объем
<1%
26°C
$52 Объем
3%
27°C
$5 Объем
6%
28°C
$71 Объем
16%
29°C
$21 Объем
38%
30°C
$4 Объем
36%
31°C
$49 Объем
7%
32°C or higher
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Milan’s August 26 maximum likely reaching 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, explaining the near-even market split (37.5 % at 29 °C, 35.5 % at 30 °C). Weak pressure gradients limit vertical mixing while high solar insolation supports peak afternoon heating in the Po Valley; modest humidity and dew points near 19–20 °C moderate extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 28 °C and 31 °C priced lower due to lower probability tails. Updated 12z–00z runs and observational verification on the 25th–26th will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$217Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Milan’s August 26 maximum likely reaching 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, explaining the near-even market split (37.5 % at 29 °C, 35.5 % at 30 °C). Weak pressure gradients limit vertical mixing while high solar insolation supports peak afternoon heating in the Po Valley; modest humidity and dew points near 19–20 °C moderate extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 28 °C and 31 °C priced lower due to lower probability tails. Updated 12z–00z runs and observational verification on the 25th–26th will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$217Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Milan’s August 26 maximum likely reaching 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, explaining the near-even market split (37.5 % at 29 °C, 35.5 % at 30 °C). Weak pressure gradients limit vertical mixing while high solar insolation supports peak afternoon heating in the Po Valley; modest humidity and dew points near 19–20 °C moderate extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 28 °C and 31 °C priced lower due to lower probability tails. Updated 12z–00z runs and observational verification on the 25th–26th will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы