Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover over Chengdu on August 28, 2026, driven by regional monsoon influences that favor convective activity and limit daytime heating. This setup typically caps maximum temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, with official outlooks centering highs near 30–32 °C. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 32–34 °C reflect residual uncertainty in storm timing, intensity, and localized clearing that could allow brief periods of stronger surface heating. Model consensus points to a lower likelihood of exceeding 34 °C, though any delay in precipitation onset remains the key variable that could shift realized outcomes within the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 28 августа?
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 19%
35°C or higher 18%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
18%
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 19%
35°C or higher 18%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover over Chengdu on August 28, 2026, driven by regional monsoon influences that favor convective activity and limit daytime heating. This setup typically caps maximum temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, with official outlooks centering highs near 30–32 °C. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 32–34 °C reflect residual uncertainty in storm timing, intensity, and localized clearing that could allow brief periods of stronger surface heating. Model consensus points to a lower likelihood of exceeding 34 °C, though any delay in precipitation onset remains the key variable that could shift realized outcomes within the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы