Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 27, position a daytime maximum near 29°C as the most probable outcome for Milan on August 28, driven by stable high pressure, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative heating. These conditions, combined with a 20-50% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms in afternoon hours per multiple sources, moderate peak temperatures below recent analogs while keeping values above the seasonal average of 28°C. Trader emphasis on 28-30°C reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to limited instability and cooling from precipitation. New observational data and refined model outputs through the evening of August 27 will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 28 августа?
29°C 37%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
25%
29°C
37%
30°C
18%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
25%
29°C
37%
30°C
18%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 27, position a daytime maximum near 29°C as the most probable outcome for Milan on August 28, driven by stable high pressure, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative heating. These conditions, combined with a 20-50% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms in afternoon hours per multiple sources, moderate peak temperatures below recent analogs while keeping values above the seasonal average of 28°C. Trader emphasis on 28-30°C reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to limited instability and cooling from precipitation. New observational data and refined model outputs through the evening of August 27 will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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