Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a highest temperature near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by northwesterly flows bringing milder air ahead of a clearing front. Typical late-winter climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 12–13°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions with limited model spread. Occasional rain early in the day may briefly suppress readings before partial clearing allows modest warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns a 45% probability of above-average temperatures through October, supporting trader consensus around the 14°C outcome while leaving room for 13°C if cloud cover persists or winds strengthen. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?
14°C 53%
13°C 29%
15°C 9%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
29%
14°C
53%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 53%
13°C 29%
15°C 9%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
29%
14°C
53%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a highest temperature near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by northwesterly flows bringing milder air ahead of a clearing front. Typical late-winter climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 12–13°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions with limited model spread. Occasional rain early in the day may briefly suppress readings before partial clearing allows modest warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns a 45% probability of above-average temperatures through October, supporting trader consensus around the 14°C outcome while leaving room for 13°C if cloud cover persists or winds strengthen. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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