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Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?

авг. 26

авг. 27

авг. 26

авг. 27

14°C 53%

13°C 29%

15°C 9%

12°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

14°C 53%

13°C 29%

15°C 9%

12°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

8°C or below

$536 Объем

<1%

9°C

$215 Объем

<1%

10°C

$361 Объем

1%

11°C

$74 Объем

1%

12°C

$336 Объем

4%

13°C

$1,053 Объем

29%

14°C

$1,633 Объем

53%

15°C

$1,273 Объем

9%

16°C

$67 Объем

3%

17°C

$135 Объем

<1%

18°C or higher

$273 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a highest temperature near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by northwesterly flows bringing milder air ahead of a clearing front. Typical late-winter climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 12–13°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions with limited model spread. Occasional rain early in the day may briefly suppress readings before partial clearing allows modest warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns a 45% probability of above-average temperatures through October, supporting trader consensus around the 14°C outcome while leaving room for 13°C if cloud cover persists or winds strengthen. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,955
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a highest temperature near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by northwesterly flows bringing milder air ahead of a clearing front. Typical late-winter climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 12–13°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions with limited model spread. Occasional rain early in the day may briefly suppress readings before partial clearing allows modest warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns a 45% probability of above-average temperatures through October, supporting trader consensus around the 14°C outcome while leaving room for 13°C if cloud cover persists or winds strengthen. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,955
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «14°C» с 53%, за ним следует «13°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 53¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 25, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?» — «14°C» с 53%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.