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icon for Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?

32°C 59%

31°C 26%

33°C 14%

30°C 3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$11,895 Объем

32°C 59%

31°C 26%

33°C 14%

30°C 3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$11,895 Объем

26°C or below

$355 Объем

<1%

27°C

$557 Объем

<1%

28°C

$484 Объем

<1%

29°C

$1,056 Объем

1%

30°C

$1,919 Объем

3%

31°C

$3,175 Объем

26%

32°C

$2,433 Объем

59%

33°C

$802 Объем

14%

34°C

$524 Объем

3%

35°C

$121 Объем

<1%

36°C or higher

$470 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of light showers and northeast winds of 4–6 levels. This aligns with late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, where typical August daily maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus favoring 32°C (58.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling from scattered precipitation, while the smaller shares for 31°C and 33°C capture uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,895
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of light showers and northeast winds of 4–6 levels. This aligns with late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, where typical August daily maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus favoring 32°C (58.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling from scattered precipitation, while the smaller shares for 31°C and 33°C capture uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,895
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «32°C» с 59%, за ним следует «31°C» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 59¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.9K с момента запуска рынка Aug 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?» — «32°C» с 59%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31°C» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.