**Latest National Weather Service guidance positions an official high near 98°F as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Recent days have featured highs of 98–101°F, well above the late-August climatological average of about 93°F, sustaining trader focus on the upper 90s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter peak readings, while heat-index values near 105–106°F underscore the persistent warm airmass. The 96–99°F range therefore dominates implied probabilities, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and historical precedent for occasional 100°F+ spikes in similar setups. No major forecast updates are scheduled before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 25 августа?
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 41%
100-101°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 41%
100-101°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service guidance positions an official high near 98°F as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Recent days have featured highs of 98–101°F, well above the late-August climatological average of about 93°F, sustaining trader focus on the upper 90s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter peak readings, while heat-index values near 105–106°F underscore the persistent warm airmass. The 96–99°F range therefore dominates implied probabilities, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and historical precedent for occasional 100°F+ spikes in similar setups. No major forecast updates are scheduled before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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