Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating compared to recent 29–30°C highs. Consensus high temperatures cluster in the 24–26°C range, with official guidance pointing to a peak near 24–25°C amid 40–70% precipitation chances and moderate wind gusts. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (30.0%), as traders incorporate the latest ensemble runs showing reduced solar insolation and advection of cooler air masses. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like Turkey's MGM will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 28 августа?
24°C 51%
23°C 30%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
30%
24°C
51%
25°C
17%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 30%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
30%
24°C
51%
25°C
17%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating compared to recent 29–30°C highs. Consensus high temperatures cluster in the 24–26°C range, with official guidance pointing to a peak near 24–25°C amid 40–70% precipitation chances and moderate wind gusts. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (30.0%), as traders incorporate the latest ensemble runs showing reduced solar insolation and advection of cooler air masses. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like Turkey's MGM will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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