Recent forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate thundery showers and overcast skies for August 27, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. In Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate, persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from convection further limits peaks, creating tight differentiation between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes based on shower timing and intensity. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal warmth overall, yet short-term model spread around convective activity keeps trader probabilities closely matched across these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?
30°C 35%
31°C 31%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
35%
31°C
31%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 31%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
35%
31°C
31%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate thundery showers and overcast skies for August 27, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. In Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate, persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from convection further limits peaks, creating tight differentiation between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes based on shower timing and intensity. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal warmth overall, yet short-term model spread around convective activity keeps trader probabilities closely matched across these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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