**Trader consensus around 30–32°C reflects official JMA guidance for a cloudy Thursday with frequent scattered showers and 50% precipitation probability across periods, which will suppress peak solar heating.** A frontal system extending from the Japan Sea across eastern Japan advects moist air and introduces upper-level cooling, producing widespread cloud cover that limits insolation while showers and evaporative cooling further moderate surface temperatures. Recent model runs and JMA’s 31°C forecast align with this setup, consistent with historical late-August patterns where frontal passages typically cap highs 2–4°C below clear-sky maxima. Minor model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the strong likelihood of persistent cloudiness and measurable rainfall on the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 27 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 27 августа?
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$11,054 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,054 Объем
27 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
22%
31°C
28%
32°C
23%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$11,054 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,054 Объем
27 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$320 Объем
1%
28°C
$332 Объем
3%
29°C
$1,329 Объем
11%
30°C
$1,566 Объем
22%
31°C
$609 Объем
28%
32°C
$1,264 Объем
23%
33°C
$875 Объем
9%
34°C
$1,162 Объем
3%
35°C
$321 Объем
3%
36°C
$1,728 Объем
1%
37°C or higher
$1,548 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 30–32°C reflects official JMA guidance for a cloudy Thursday with frequent scattered showers and 50% precipitation probability across periods, which will suppress peak solar heating.** A frontal system extending from the Japan Sea across eastern Japan advects moist air and introduces upper-level cooling, producing widespread cloud cover that limits insolation while showers and evaporative cooling further moderate surface temperatures. Recent model runs and JMA’s 31°C forecast align with this setup, consistent with historical late-August patterns where frontal passages typically cap highs 2–4°C below clear-sky maxima. Minor model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the strong likelihood of persistent cloudiness and measurable rainfall on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$11,054Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 30–32°C reflects official JMA guidance for a cloudy Thursday with frequent scattered showers and 50% precipitation probability across periods, which will suppress peak solar heating.** A frontal system extending from the Japan Sea across eastern Japan advects moist air and introduces upper-level cooling, producing widespread cloud cover that limits insolation while showers and evaporative cooling further moderate surface temperatures. Recent model runs and JMA’s 31°C forecast align with this setup, consistent with historical late-August patterns where frontal passages typically cap highs 2–4°C below clear-sky maxima. Minor model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the strong likelihood of persistent cloudiness and measurable rainfall on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,054Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 30–32°C reflects official JMA guidance for a cloudy Thursday with frequent scattered showers and 50% precipitation probability across periods, which will suppress peak solar heating.** A frontal system extending from the Japan Sea across eastern Japan advects moist air and introduces upper-level cooling, producing widespread cloud cover that limits insolation while showers and evaporative cooling further moderate surface temperatures. Recent model runs and JMA’s 31°C forecast align with this setup, consistent with historical late-August patterns where frontal passages typically cap highs 2–4°C below clear-sky maxima. Minor model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the tight clustering between 30°C and 32°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the strong likelihood of persistent cloudiness and measurable rainfall on the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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