Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model runs point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 27, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 24–26 °C in central Tokyo. High humidity from the strengthened Pacific high reduces nocturnal heat loss while urban heat-island effects and light winds limit further drops, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C nearly even. Any increase in cloud cover or rainfall timing could suppress the low by an extra degree through evaporative cooling, whereas clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 27 августа?
26°C 45%
25°C 43%
27°C 15%
24°C 9%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
43%
26°C
48%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 45%
25°C 43%
27°C 15%
24°C 9%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
43%
26°C
48%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model runs point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 27, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 24–26 °C in central Tokyo. High humidity from the strengthened Pacific high reduces nocturnal heat loss while urban heat-island effects and light winds limit further drops, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C nearly even. Any increase in cloud cover or rainfall timing could suppress the low by an extra degree through evaporative cooling, whereas clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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