Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms across the Sichuan Basin are moderating nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered in the 23–26°C range. High humidity near 80–95% combined with light winds limits temperature drops overnight, while scattered heavy rain enhances localized evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2°C from the low. Recent forecast model runs show minor divergence on the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, directly explaining the near-even market odds between 25°C/26°C and 23°C/24°C outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 24°C, with deviations driven primarily by convective activity rather than synoptic shifts. Updated radar and numerical guidance through the evening will determine whether the low settles nearer the upper or lower end of this narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 28 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 28 августа?
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
22°C 3.3%
27°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
22°C 3.3%
27°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$152 Объем
<1%
20°C
$68 Объем
<1%
21°C
$172 Объем
1%
22°C
$67 Объем
3%
23°C
$2 Объем
47%
24°C
$2 Объем
47%
25°C
$2 Объем
48%
26°C
$16 Объем
48%
27°C
$183 Объем
1%
28°C
$171 Объем
<1%
29°C or higher
$207 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms across the Sichuan Basin are moderating nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered in the 23–26°C range. High humidity near 80–95% combined with light winds limits temperature drops overnight, while scattered heavy rain enhances localized evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2°C from the low. Recent forecast model runs show minor divergence on the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, directly explaining the near-even market odds between 25°C/26°C and 23°C/24°C outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 24°C, with deviations driven primarily by convective activity rather than synoptic shifts. Updated radar and numerical guidance through the evening will determine whether the low settles nearer the upper or lower end of this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,042Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms across the Sichuan Basin are moderating nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered in the 23–26°C range. High humidity near 80–95% combined with light winds limits temperature drops overnight, while scattered heavy rain enhances localized evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2°C from the low. Recent forecast model runs show minor divergence on the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, directly explaining the near-even market odds between 25°C/26°C and 23°C/24°C outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 24°C, with deviations driven primarily by convective activity rather than synoptic shifts. Updated radar and numerical guidance through the evening will determine whether the low settles nearer the upper or lower end of this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,042Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms across the Sichuan Basin are moderating nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered in the 23–26°C range. High humidity near 80–95% combined with light winds limits temperature drops overnight, while scattered heavy rain enhances localized evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2°C from the low. Recent forecast model runs show minor divergence on the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, directly explaining the near-even market odds between 25°C/26°C and 23°C/24°C outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 24°C, with deviations driven primarily by convective activity rather than synoptic shifts. Updated radar and numerical guidance through the evening will determine whether the low settles nearer the upper or lower end of this narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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