Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 29 likely ranging 20–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and thunderstorms expected through the night. These conditions suppress radiative cooling under the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical climate, where high dew points and weak winds limit temperature drops compared to clearer periods. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25 °C. Official minimum temperature observations, typically reported the following morning, will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 29 августа?
27°C or higher 73%
24°C 51%
25°C 38%
23°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
36%
23°C
37%
24°C
51%
25°C
38%
26°C
33%
27°C or higher
73%
27°C or higher 73%
24°C 51%
25°C 38%
23°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$135 Объем
1%
18°C
$5 Объем
5%
19°C
$5 Объем
10%
20°C
$20 Объем
34%
21°C
$0 Объем
34%
22°C
$0 Объем
36%
23°C
$0 Объем
37%
24°C
$0 Объем
51%
25°C
$0 Объем
38%
26°C
$0 Объем
33%
27°C or higher
$5 Объем
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 29 likely ranging 20–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and thunderstorms expected through the night. These conditions suppress radiative cooling under the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical climate, where high dew points and weak winds limit temperature drops compared to clearer periods. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25 °C. Official minimum temperature observations, typically reported the following morning, will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$170Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 29 likely ranging 20–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and thunderstorms expected through the night. These conditions suppress radiative cooling under the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical climate, where high dew points and weak winds limit temperature drops compared to clearer periods. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25 °C. Official minimum temperature observations, typically reported the following morning, will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$170Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 29 likely ranging 20–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and thunderstorms expected through the night. These conditions suppress radiative cooling under the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical climate, where high dew points and weak winds limit temperature drops compared to clearer periods. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25 °C. Official minimum temperature observations, typically reported the following morning, will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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