Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on August 28, driven by southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and radiative warming. This setup departs from the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.2°C, keeping extreme values above 25°C or below 21°C at low probability. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 23°C (40%) and 24°C (25.5%) outcomes, aligns closely with ensemble guidance showing modest model agreement on peak temperatures amid variable precipitation timing; fresh model runs tonight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 28 августа?
23°C 40%
24°C 26%
22°C 22%
21°C 8%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
40%
24°C
26%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 40%
24°C 26%
22°C 22%
21°C 8%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
40%
24°C
26%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on August 28, driven by southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and radiative warming. This setup departs from the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.2°C, keeping extreme values above 25°C or below 21°C at low probability. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 23°C (40%) and 24°C (25.5%) outcomes, aligns closely with ensemble guidance showing modest model agreement on peak temperatures amid variable precipitation timing; fresh model runs tonight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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