**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 22–26°C because official forecasts and model guidance show a transitional day with moderate cooling from prior extreme heat but no sharp cold surge yet.** Wuhan has just emerged from a prolonged, record-level heatwave (one of the hottest Sanfu periods on record). On August 29, forecasters anticipate a shift as peripheral flows from a typhoon inverted trough increase cloud cover, humidity, and rain chances (up to 80–90% in some guidance), with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. These factors promote evaporative cooling and reduce daytime heating, pulling nighttime lows into the mid-20s °C range. Forecasts from sources such as LUFT TIME, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological reports converge on overnight minima near 24–26°C, with some runs showing 22–24°C under heavier rain and stronger winds, while others hold closer to 25–27°C if clouds arrive later. This spread in model outputs—driven by timing of precipitation and exact wind strength—creates the near-even implied probabilities across 22°C or below through 26°C. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry sharply lower odds because even modest rain and northerly flow make sustained warmth overnight unlikely. Resolution will hinge on the final verified minimum from local observations once the 24-hour period ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?
22°C or below 89%
26°C 45%
25°C 44%
24°C 44%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
9%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
45%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
43%
22°C or below 89%
26°C 45%
25°C 44%
24°C 44%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
9%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
45%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 22–26°C because official forecasts and model guidance show a transitional day with moderate cooling from prior extreme heat but no sharp cold surge yet.** Wuhan has just emerged from a prolonged, record-level heatwave (one of the hottest Sanfu periods on record). On August 29, forecasters anticipate a shift as peripheral flows from a typhoon inverted trough increase cloud cover, humidity, and rain chances (up to 80–90% in some guidance), with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. These factors promote evaporative cooling and reduce daytime heating, pulling nighttime lows into the mid-20s °C range. Forecasts from sources such as LUFT TIME, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological reports converge on overnight minima near 24–26°C, with some runs showing 22–24°C under heavier rain and stronger winds, while others hold closer to 25–27°C if clouds arrive later. This spread in model outputs—driven by timing of precipitation and exact wind strength—creates the near-even implied probabilities across 22°C or below through 26°C. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry sharply lower odds because even modest rain and northerly flow make sustained warmth overnight unlikely. Resolution will hinge on the final verified minimum from local observations once the 24-hour period ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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