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icon for Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?

авг. 28

авг. 29

авг. 28

авг. 29

22°C or below 89%

26°C 45%

25°C 44%

24°C 44%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

22°C or below 89%

26°C 45%

25°C 44%

24°C 44%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

22°C or below

$5 Объем

89%

23°C

$30 Объем

9%

24°C

$0 Объем

44%

25°C

$0 Объем

44%

26°C

$0 Объем

45%

27°C

$0 Объем

26%

28°C

$0 Объем

5%

29°C

$0 Объем

5%

30°C

$5 Объем

8%

31°C

$5 Объем

8%

32°C or higher

$5 Объем

43%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 22–26°C because official forecasts and model guidance show a transitional day with moderate cooling from prior extreme heat but no sharp cold surge yet.** Wuhan has just emerged from a prolonged, record-level heatwave (one of the hottest Sanfu periods on record). On August 29, forecasters anticipate a shift as peripheral flows from a typhoon inverted trough increase cloud cover, humidity, and rain chances (up to 80–90% in some guidance), with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. These factors promote evaporative cooling and reduce daytime heating, pulling nighttime lows into the mid-20s °C range. Forecasts from sources such as LUFT TIME, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological reports converge on overnight minima near 24–26°C, with some runs showing 22–24°C under heavier rain and stronger winds, while others hold closer to 25–27°C if clouds arrive later. This spread in model outputs—driven by timing of precipitation and exact wind strength—creates the near-even implied probabilities across 22°C or below through 26°C. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry sharply lower odds because even modest rain and northerly flow make sustained warmth overnight unlikely. Resolution will hinge on the final verified minimum from local observations once the 24-hour period ends.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$50
Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 22–26°C because official forecasts and model guidance show a transitional day with moderate cooling from prior extreme heat but no sharp cold surge yet.** Wuhan has just emerged from a prolonged, record-level heatwave (one of the hottest Sanfu periods on record). On August 29, forecasters anticipate a shift as peripheral flows from a typhoon inverted trough increase cloud cover, humidity, and rain chances (up to 80–90% in some guidance), with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. These factors promote evaporative cooling and reduce daytime heating, pulling nighttime lows into the mid-20s °C range. Forecasts from sources such as LUFT TIME, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological reports converge on overnight minima near 24–26°C, with some runs showing 22–24°C under heavier rain and stronger winds, while others hold closer to 25–27°C if clouds arrive later. This spread in model outputs—driven by timing of precipitation and exact wind strength—creates the near-even implied probabilities across 22°C or below through 26°C. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry sharply lower odds because even modest rain and northerly flow make sustained warmth overnight unlikely. Resolution will hinge on the final verified minimum from local observations once the 24-hour period ends.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$50
Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «26°C» с 46%, за ним следует «22°C or below» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 46¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?» — «26°C» с 46%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Следующий ближайший исход — «22°C or below» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 29 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.