Recent forecasts from Roshydromet and GFS-based models indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 20–22°C on August 30 under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit surface heating. These conditions position 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain cloud timing and precipitation amounts, while climatological norms for late August support highs near 21–23°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and uncertainty low ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 30 августа?
21°C 45%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
23°C 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
19%
21°C
45%
22°C
26%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 45%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
23°C 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
19%
21°C
45%
22°C
26%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Roshydromet and GFS-based models indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 20–22°C on August 30 under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit surface heating. These conditions position 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain cloud timing and precipitation amounts, while climatological norms for late August support highs near 21–23°C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and uncertainty low ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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