Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31 most likely between 29–31°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating over the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with dew points supporting moderate humidity but no strong advection of warmer air masses. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 30°C (37%), 29°C, and 31°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. New high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 31 августа?
30°C 37%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
26%
30°C
37%
31°C
25%
32°C
13%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
26°C
$0 Объем
4%
27°C
$0 Объем
4%
28°C
$6 Объем
13%
29°C
$26 Объем
26%
30°C
$123 Объем
37%
31°C
$38 Объем
25%
32°C
$15 Объем
13%
33°C
$26 Объем
<1%
34°C
$57 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$321 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31 most likely between 29–31°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating over the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with dew points supporting moderate humidity but no strong advection of warmer air masses. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 30°C (37%), 29°C, and 31°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. New high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$611Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31 most likely between 29–31°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating over the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with dew points supporting moderate humidity but no strong advection of warmer air masses. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 30°C (37%), 29°C, and 31°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. New high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$611Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31 most likely between 29–31°C, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating over the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with dew points supporting moderate humidity but no strong advection of warmer air masses. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 30°C (37%), 29°C, and 31°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. New high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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