Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on August 31 under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dew points supporting heat indices around 105°F. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Late-summer conditions feature above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93.9°F, with no precipitation or frontal systems expected to moderate readings. Short-range forecast stability and minimal model spread through the weekend reinforce the current market positioning ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 31 августа?
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 39%
102-103°F 21%
104-105°F 20%
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
20%
106-107°F
7%
108°F или выше
7%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 39%
102-103°F 21%
104-105°F 20%
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
20%
106-107°F
7%
108°F или выше
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on August 31 under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dew points supporting heat indices around 105°F. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Late-summer conditions feature above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93.9°F, with no precipitation or frontal systems expected to moderate readings. Short-range forecast stability and minimal model spread through the weekend reinforce the current market positioning ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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