Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate sunny conditions under a persistent upper-level ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas, supporting a daily maximum near 101°F for Dallas on August 30. South to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, minimal cloud cover, and strong subsidence are expected to limit mixing while allowing surface temperatures to peak in the 100–102°F range during afternoon hours. This aligns with the market’s leading 100–101°F bin at 59% implied probability. Historical averages for the date hover near 94°F, so the current setup represents well-above-normal heat without reaching extreme records. Resolution will depend on the precise hourly maximum recorded at official stations, with the next NWS forecast update providing the final pre-event adjustment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 30 августа?
100-101°F 60%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 17%
104-105°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 60%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 17%
104-105°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate sunny conditions under a persistent upper-level ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas, supporting a daily maximum near 101°F for Dallas on August 30. South to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, minimal cloud cover, and strong subsidence are expected to limit mixing while allowing surface temperatures to peak in the 100–102°F range during afternoon hours. This aligns with the market’s leading 100–101°F bin at 59% implied probability. Historical averages for the date hover near 94°F, so the current setup represents well-above-normal heat without reaching extreme records. Resolution will depend on the precise hourly maximum recorded at official stations, with the next NWS forecast update providing the final pre-event adjustment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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