Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 16°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by southerly winds and clearing skies following Saturday's light rain, with limited afternoon warming under stable high pressure. Trader consensus favoring 17–18°C outcomes at combined 68.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs and potential for slight upward revisions in the final 48 hours, though recent observations show no strong warming signal and align more closely with the 16°C bin. Historical August maxima average around 18°C, providing context for the modest probabilities on higher thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely influence positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 30 августа?
17°C 43%
18°C 24%
16°C 22%
19°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
22%
17°C
43%
18°C
24%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
17°C 43%
18°C 24%
16°C 22%
19°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$22 Объем
<1%
13°C
$22 Объем
1%
14°C
$109 Объем
3%
15°C
$27 Объем
6%
16°C
$78 Объем
22%
17°C
$583 Объем
43%
18°C
$66 Объем
24%
19°C
$101 Объем
7%
20°C
$22 Объем
1%
21°C
$32 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$134 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 16°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by southerly winds and clearing skies following Saturday's light rain, with limited afternoon warming under stable high pressure. Trader consensus favoring 17–18°C outcomes at combined 68.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs and potential for slight upward revisions in the final 48 hours, though recent observations show no strong warming signal and align more closely with the 16°C bin. Historical August maxima average around 18°C, providing context for the modest probabilities on higher thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely influence positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,198Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 16°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by southerly winds and clearing skies following Saturday's light rain, with limited afternoon warming under stable high pressure. Trader consensus favoring 17–18°C outcomes at combined 68.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs and potential for slight upward revisions in the final 48 hours, though recent observations show no strong warming signal and align more closely with the 16°C bin. Historical August maxima average around 18°C, providing context for the modest probabilities on higher thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely influence positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,198Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 16°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by southerly winds and clearing skies following Saturday's light rain, with limited afternoon warming under stable high pressure. Trader consensus favoring 17–18°C outcomes at combined 68.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs and potential for slight upward revisions in the final 48 hours, though recent observations show no strong warming signal and align more closely with the 16°C bin. Historical August maxima average around 18°C, providing context for the modest probabilities on higher thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely influence positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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