Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 30 августа?
27°C 49%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
30%
27°C
49%
28°C
18%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$236 Объем
<1%
22°C
$50 Объем
1%
23°C
$0 Объем
3%
24°C
$0 Объем
4%
25°C
$50 Объем
6%
26°C
$218 Объем
30%
27°C
$208 Объем
49%
28°C
$64 Объем
18%
29°C
$58 Объем
5%
30°C
$0 Объем
3%
31°C or higher
$172 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,056Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,056Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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