Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate that outer circulation from Typhoon Shadell will drive northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover over Wuhan on August 30, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak temperature. Official guidance centers on a high near 32–33 °C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at those levels. Recent model runs show modest spread around this range, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a 34 °C spike before afternoon convection develops. This represents a clear cooldown from the 36–38 °C readings recorded earlier in the week, aligning trader consensus with the expected moderation from increased moisture and reduced insolation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 30 августа?
33°C 37%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
26%
33°C
37%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 37%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$148 Объем
<1%
26°C
$309 Объем
<1%
27°C
$309 Объем
<1%
28°C
$936 Объем
<1%
29°C
$557 Объем
1%
30°C
$244 Объем
2%
31°C
$644 Объем
7%
32°C
$696 Объем
26%
33°C
$392 Объем
37%
34°C
$2,127 Объем
26%
35°C or higher
$530 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate that outer circulation from Typhoon Shadell will drive northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover over Wuhan on August 30, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak temperature. Official guidance centers on a high near 32–33 °C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at those levels. Recent model runs show modest spread around this range, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a 34 °C spike before afternoon convection develops. This represents a clear cooldown from the 36–38 °C readings recorded earlier in the week, aligning trader consensus with the expected moderation from increased moisture and reduced insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$6,892Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate that outer circulation from Typhoon Shadell will drive northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover over Wuhan on August 30, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak temperature. Official guidance centers on a high near 32–33 °C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at those levels. Recent model runs show modest spread around this range, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a 34 °C spike before afternoon convection develops. This represents a clear cooldown from the 36–38 °C readings recorded earlier in the week, aligning trader consensus with the expected moderation from increased moisture and reduced insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,892Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate that outer circulation from Typhoon Shadell will drive northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover over Wuhan on August 30, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak temperature. Official guidance centers on a high near 32–33 °C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at those levels. Recent model runs show modest spread around this range, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a 34 °C spike before afternoon convection develops. This represents a clear cooldown from the 36–38 °C readings recorded earlier in the week, aligning trader consensus with the expected moderation from increased moisture and reduced insolation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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