Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the 15–18°C range, reflecting a weakening high-pressure system and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Light showers or scattered precipitation expected in some guidance further moderates temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing clear-sky heat loss. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average minima hover near 15°C amid transitional Atlantic influences. Traders weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions ahead of resolution, as small shifts in steering flow or humidity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 31 августа?
10°C or below 59%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
18°C 49%
10°C or below
59%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
32%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C or higher
2%
10°C or below 59%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
18°C 49%
10°C or below
59%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
32%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the 15–18°C range, reflecting a weakening high-pressure system and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Light showers or scattered precipitation expected in some guidance further moderates temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing clear-sky heat loss. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average minima hover near 15°C amid transitional Atlantic influences. Traders weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions ahead of resolution, as small shifts in steering flow or humidity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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