Recent official forecasts from sources like the Polish IMGW and global models (GFS, ECMWF) place Warsaw’s August 31 maximum near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 27 °C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet within normal variability. With market-implied odds tightly clustered among 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C+, traders appear focused on the next model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or frontal timing that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 31 августа?
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C or higher 30%
24°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
31%
26°C
35%
27°C or higher
30%
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C or higher 30%
24°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$5 Объем
<1%
18°C
$0 Объем
<1%
19°C
$0 Объем
<1%
20°C
$0 Объем
1%
21°C
$0 Объем
1%
22°C
$0 Объем
4%
23°C
$0 Объем
3%
24°C
$0 Объем
9%
25°C
$91 Объем
31%
26°C
$14 Объем
35%
27°C or higher
$408 Объем
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like the Polish IMGW and global models (GFS, ECMWF) place Warsaw’s August 31 maximum near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 27 °C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet within normal variability. With market-implied odds tightly clustered among 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C+, traders appear focused on the next model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or frontal timing that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$518Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like the Polish IMGW and global models (GFS, ECMWF) place Warsaw’s August 31 maximum near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 27 °C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet within normal variability. With market-implied odds tightly clustered among 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C+, traders appear focused on the next model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or frontal timing that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$518Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like the Polish IMGW and global models (GFS, ECMWF) place Warsaw’s August 31 maximum near 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 27 °C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet within normal variability. With market-implied odds tightly clustered among 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C+, traders appear focused on the next model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or frontal timing that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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